How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Elfsborg W, at 45.2%. The other outcomes represent 54.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 32.4% · Draw: 22.4% · Away win: 45.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Trelleborg W 1580; Elfsborg W 1647. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–4. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Elitettan · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:00
Trelleborg W
Elo 1580
2
-
4
Elfsborg W
Elo 1647
FT
HT 1-2
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-67
H2H (3)
0H
3D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Trelleborg W1580
Elfsborg W1647
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Trelleborg W
3Draws
0Elfsborg W
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
32%
Draw
22%
Away
45%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
27%
Draw
43%
Away
30%
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
WRONG
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
HT Over 1.5
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
29%
No
71%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.