How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Skara, at 58.4%. The other outcomes represent 41.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 58.4% · Draw: 21.6% · Away win: 20%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Skara 1614; Kumla 1420. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Division 2 - Norra Götaland · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:00
Skara
Elo 1614
3
-
1
Kumla
Elo 1420
FT
HT 2-1
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
+194
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Skara1614
Kumla1420
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Skara
0Draws
0Kumla
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
58% conf.
CORRECT
Home
58%
Draw
22%
Away
20%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Half-Time Result
48% conf.
CORRECT
Home
48%
Draw
37%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
85% conf.
WRONG
Yes
15%
No
85%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.