How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Heimstetten, at 40.9%. The other outcomes represent 59.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 40.9% · Draw: 25.8% · Away win: 33.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Heimstetten 1526; Erlbach 1578. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Oberliga - Bayern Süd · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:00
Heimstetten
Elo 1526
0
-
0
Erlbach
Elo 1578
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-52
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Heimstetten1526
Erlbach1578
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Heimstetten
0Draws
0Erlbach
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
41%
Draw
26%
Away
33%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
18%
No
82%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
WRONG
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
33%
Draw
40%
Away
27%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
WRONG
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.