How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Pfaffenhofen, at 51.2%. The other outcomes represent 48.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 51.2% · Draw: 22.1% · Away win: 26.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Pfaffenhofen 1511; Deisenhofen 1439. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Oberliga - Bayern Süd · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:00
Pfaffenhofen
Elo 1511
4
-
2
Deisenhofen
Elo 1439
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
2W
3D
0L
Away Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Elo Advantage
+72
Elo rating comparison
Pfaffenhofen1511
Deisenhofen1439
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Pfaffenhofen
—Draws
—Deisenhofen
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
51% conf.
CORRECT
Home
51%
Draw
22%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Away Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
41%
Draw
35%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.