How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Lipno Stęszew, at 48.9%. The other outcomes represent 51.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 48.9% · Draw: 25.2% · Away win: 25.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Lipno Stęszew 1446; Chemik Bydgoszcz 1487. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
III Liga - Group 2 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:00
Lipno Stęszew
Elo 1446
0
-
1
Chemik Bydgoszcz
Elo 1487
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
0W
4D
1L
Elo Advantage
-41
Elo rating comparison
Lipno Stęszew1446
Chemik Bydgoszcz1487
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Lipno Stęszew
—Draws
—Chemik Bydgoszcz
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
WRONG
Home
49%
Draw
25%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
36%
Away
26%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.