How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Skive, at 51.7%. The other outcomes represent 48.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 51.7% · Draw: 16.3% · Away win: 32%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Skive 1674; HIK 1584. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
2. Division · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:00
Skive
Elo 1674
2
-
0
HIK
Elo 1584
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+90
Elo rating comparison
Skive1674
HIK1584
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Skive
—Draws
—HIK
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
52% conf.
CORRECT
Home
52%
@ 1.62
Draw
16%
@ 3.90
Away
32%
@ 4.62
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Home Clean Sheet
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
CORRECT
Home
42%
Draw
37%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.