How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is VfR Neumünster, at 52.7%. The other outcomes represent 47.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 24.2% · Draw: 23.1% · Away win: 52.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Kaltenkirchen 1441; VfR Neumünster 1618. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:00
Kaltenkirchen
Elo 1441
1
-
3
VfR Neumünster
Elo 1618
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
-176
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Kaltenkirchen1441
VfR Neumünster1618
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Kaltenkirchen
2Draws
0VfR Neumünster
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
53% conf.
CORRECT
Home
24%
Draw
23%
Away
53%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Away Clean Sheet
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
CORRECT
Home
19%
Draw
35%
Away
46%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.