How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Kilia Kiel, at 60.3%. The other outcomes represent 39.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 19.3% · Draw: 20.4% · Away win: 60.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Eckernförder SV 1380; Kilia Kiel 1720. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–6. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:00
Eckernförder SV
Elo 1380
1
-
6
Kilia Kiel
Elo 1720
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-339
Elo rating comparison
Eckernförder SV1380
Kilia Kiel1720
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Eckernförder SV
—Draws
—Kilia Kiel
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
60% conf.
CORRECT
Home
19%
Draw
20%
Away
60%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Clean Sheet
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance X2
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
CORRECT
Home
19%
Draw
32%
Away
49%
HT Both Teams Score
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Home Win to Nil
100% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
0%
No
100%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.