How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Vilzing, at 48.1%. The other outcomes represent 51.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 25.2% · Draw: 26.7% · Away win: 48.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Schwaben Augsburg 1578; Vilzing 1740. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 3–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Regionalliga - Bayern · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:00
Schwaben Augsburg
Elo 1578
3
-
1
Vilzing
Elo 1740
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
-162
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Schwaben Augsburg1578
Vilzing1740
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Schwaben Augsburg
0Draws
2Vilzing
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
25%
Draw
27%
Away
48%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Home Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
79%
No
21%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
21%
Draw
36%
Away
43%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.