How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is VfR Aalen, at 49.5%. The other outcomes represent 50.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49.5% · Draw: 21.5% · Away win: 29%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: VfR Aalen 1838; FSV Frankfurt 1826. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Regionalliga - SudWest · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:00
VfR Aalen
Elo 1838
4
-
1
FSV Frankfurt
Elo 1826
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+12
Elo rating comparison
VfR Aalen1838
FSV Frankfurt1826
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—VfR Aalen
—Draws
—FSV Frankfurt
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
CORRECT
Home
50%
Draw
22%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
28%
Draw
41%
Away
30%
HT Both Teams Score
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 3.5 Goals
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
32%
No
68%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.