How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Viktoria Köln U19, at 77.8%. The other outcomes represent 22.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 77.8% · Draw: 13.5% · Away win: 8.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Viktoria Köln U19 1593; Saarbrücken U19 1273. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
U19 Bundesliga · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:00
Viktoria Köln U19
Elo 1593
4
-
3
Saarbrücken U19
Elo 1273
FT
HT 2-2
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
+320
H2H (4)
4H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Viktoria Köln U191593
Saarbrücken U191273
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
4Viktoria Köln U19
0Draws
0Saarbrücken U19
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
78% conf.
CORRECT
Home
78%
Draw
14%
Away
9%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
91% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
9%
No
91%
Home Clean Sheet
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Half-Time Result
58% conf.
WRONG
Home
58%
Draw
31%
Away
11%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Over 1.5 Goals
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
90%
No
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 3.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.