How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Baicoi, at 67.1%. The other outcomes represent 32.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 19.8% · Draw: 13.1% · Away win: 67.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Carpati Covasna 1419; Baicoi 1545. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga III - Serie 2 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:00
Carpati Covasna
Elo 1419
0
-
2
Baicoi
Elo 1545
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
-127
Elo rating comparison
Carpati Covasna1419
Baicoi1545
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Carpati Covasna
—Draws
—Baicoi
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
67% conf.
CORRECT
Home
20%
Draw
13%
Away
67%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Clean Sheet
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
10%
No
90%
Double Chance 1X
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance X2
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Half-Time Result
63% conf.
WRONG
Home
16%
Draw
21%
Away
63%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
85% conf.
WRONG
Yes
85%
No
15%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.