How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Tunari, at 67.7%. The other outcomes represent 32.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 67.7% · Draw: 21.4% · Away win: 10.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Tunari 1687; Viitorul Corbeanca 1462. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga III - Serie 3 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:00
Tunari
Elo 1687
2
-
0
Viitorul Corbeanca
Elo 1462
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Elo Advantage
+225
Elo rating comparison
Tunari1687
Viitorul Corbeanca1462
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Tunari
—Draws
—Viitorul Corbeanca
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
68% conf.
CORRECT
Home
68%
Draw
21%
Away
11%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Away Clean Sheet
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Clean Sheet
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Double Chance 1X
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Half-Time Result
49% conf.
CORRECT
Home
49%
Draw
39%
Away
12%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
HT Over 1.5
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
32%
No
68%
Over 1.5 Goals
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.