How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Minerul Lupeni, at 64.1%. The other outcomes represent 35.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 64.1% · Draw: 22.4% · Away win: 13.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Minerul Lupeni 1686; Oltul Curtişoara 1496. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga III - Serie 6 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:00
Minerul Lupeni
Elo 1686
2
-
0
Oltul Curtişoara
Elo 1496
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
+190
Elo rating comparison
Minerul Lupeni1686
Oltul Curtişoara1496
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Minerul Lupeni
—Draws
—Oltul Curtişoara
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
64% conf.
CORRECT
Home
64%
Draw
22%
Away
14%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Double Chance 1X
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
47%
Draw
40%
Away
13%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
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Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.