How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Cetate Deva, at 41.0%. The other outcomes represent 59.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 41% · Draw: 27.6% · Away win: 31.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Cetate Deva 1634; Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii 1581. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 5–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga III - Serie 7 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:00
Cetate Deva
Elo 1634
5
-
1
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
Elo 1581
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+53
Elo rating comparison
Cetate Deva1634
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii1581
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Cetate Deva
—Draws
—Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
41%
Draw
28%
Away
31%
Both Teams to Score
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
67%
No
33%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
39%
Draw
32%
Away
29%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.