How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Progresul Pecica, at 40.4%. The other outcomes represent 59.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 40.4% · Draw: 28% · Away win: 31.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Progresul Pecica 1528; CIL Blaj 1577. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga III - Serie 7 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:00
Progresul Pecica
Elo 1528
2
-
1
CIL Blaj
Elo 1577
FT
HT 2-1
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-49
H2H (3)
3H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Progresul Pecica1528
CIL Blaj1577
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
3Progresul Pecica
0Draws
0CIL Blaj
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
CORRECT
Home
40%
Draw
28%
Away
32%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
36%
Draw
40%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.