How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Unirea Alba Iulia, at 62.4%. The other outcomes represent 37.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 19.8% · Draw: 17.9% · Away win: 62.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Viitorul Arad 1520; Unirea Alba Iulia 1851. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–4. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga III - Serie 7 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:00
Viitorul Arad
Elo 1520
0
-
4
Unirea Alba Iulia
Elo 1851
FT
HT 0-3
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-331
Elo rating comparison
Viitorul Arad1520
Unirea Alba Iulia1851
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Viitorul Arad
—Draws
—Unirea Alba Iulia
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
62% conf.
CORRECT
Home
20%
Draw
18%
Away
62%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
20%
Draw
39%
Away
41%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Win to Nil
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.