How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Bekasi City, at 38.9%. The other outcomes represent 61.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.9% · Draw: 25.1% · Away win: 38.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: PSIS Semarang 1435; Bekasi City 1564. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga 2 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:00
PSIS Semarang
Elo 1435
1
-
0
Bekasi City
Elo 1564
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
-129
Elo rating comparison
PSIS Semarang1435
Bekasi City1564
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—PSIS Semarang
—Draws
—Bekasi City
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
36%
Draw
25%
Away
39%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Clean Sheet
76% conf.
WRONG
Yes
24%
No
76%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
25%
Draw
37%
Away
38%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.