How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is PSMS Medan, at 55.2%. The other outcomes represent 44.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 55.2% · Draw: 21.7% · Away win: 23.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: PSMS Medan 1587; Persikad Depok FC 1523. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Liga 2 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:00
PSMS Medan
Elo 1587
4
-
0
Persikad Depok FC
Elo 1523
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Elo Advantage
+64
H2H (3)
0H
3D
0A
Elo rating comparison
PSMS Medan1587
Persikad Depok FC1523
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0PSMS Medan
3Draws
0Persikad Depok FC
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
CORRECT
Home
55%
Draw
22%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
WRONG
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
44%
Draw
39%
Away
17%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.