How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is RKAV Volendam, at 42.9%. The other outcomes represent 57.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 42.9% · Draw: 23.6% · Away win: 33.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: RKAV Volendam 1602; Almere City II 1640. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–4. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Tweede Divisie · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:30
RKAV Volendam
Elo 1602
1
-
4
Almere City II
Elo 1640
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
0W
1D
4L
Elo Advantage
-38
H2H (3)
0H
0D
3A
Elo rating comparison
RKAV Volendam1602
Almere City II1640
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0RKAV Volendam
0Draws
3Almere City II
3 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
43%
@ 2.56
Draw
24%
@ 3.85
Away
34%
@ 2.24
Both Teams to Score
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
@ 1.39
No
38%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
@ 1.54
No
40%
Double Chance X2
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
@ 1.40
No
42%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
34%
@ 3.03
Draw
37%
@ 2.45
Away
30%
@ 2.74
HT Both Teams Score
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
@ 1.23
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
@ 1.12
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
@ 1.43
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.