How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Galata, at 50.4%. The other outcomes represent 49.6% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 50.4% · Draw: 25.6% · Away win: 24%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Galata 1475; Beykoz İshaklıspor 1436. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. Lig - Group 1 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:30
Galata
Elo 1475
2
-
0
Beykoz İshaklıspor
Elo 1436
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+39
H2H (4)
0H
4D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Galata1475
Beykoz İshaklıspor1436
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Galata
4Draws
0Beykoz İshaklıspor
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
50% conf.
CORRECT
Home
50%
Draw
26%
Away
24%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Half-Time Result
46% conf.
WRONG
Home
30%
Draw
46%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
HT Over 1.5
67% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
33%
No
67%
Over 1.5 Goals
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
46%
No
54%
Over 3.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.