How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Tokat Bld Plevnespor, at 38.8%. The other outcomes represent 61.2% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.3% · Draw: 26% · Away win: 38.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: İnkılapspor 1409; Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1503. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–1. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. Lig - Group 1 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:30
İnkılapspor
Elo 1409
0
-
1
Tokat Bld Plevnespor
Elo 1503
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
1W
3D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
-94
Elo rating comparison
İnkılapspor1409
Tokat Bld Plevnespor1503
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—İnkılapspor
—Draws
—Tokat Bld Plevnespor
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
39% conf.
CORRECT
Home
35%
Draw
26%
Away
39%
Both Teams to Score
50% conf.
WRONG
Yes
50%
No
50%
Away Clean Sheet
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Clean Sheet
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
CORRECT
Home
27%
Draw
38%
Away
34%
HT Both Teams Score
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.