How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Yalova Yeşilovaspor, at 47.2%. The other outcomes represent 52.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 47.2% · Draw: 24.9% · Away win: 27.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Yalova Yeşilovaspor 1461; Kartal Bulvarspor 1470. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–4. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. Lig - Group 1 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:30
Yalova Yeşilovaspor
Elo 1461
2
-
4
Kartal Bulvarspor
Elo 1470
FT
HT 1-2
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-9
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Yalova Yeşilovaspor1461
Kartal Bulvarspor1470
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Yalova Yeşilovaspor
2Draws
0Kartal Bulvarspor
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
47% conf.
WRONG
Home
47%
Draw
25%
Away
28%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
35%
Draw
39%
Away
26%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.