How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Forli, at 35.7%. The other outcomes represent 64.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.6% · Draw: 28.7% · Away win: 35.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Vado 1643; Forli 1625. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie C - Girone B · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:30
Vado
Elo 1643
1
-
0
Forli
Elo 1625
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+18
Elo rating comparison
Vado1643
Forli1625
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Vado
—Draws
—Forli
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
36% conf.
WRONG
Home
36%
@ 2.67
Draw
29%
@ 3.25
Away
36%
@ 2.42
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
@ 1.78
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
@ 1.47
No
35%
Double Chance X2
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
@ 1.39
No
36%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
27%
@ 3.36
Draw
42%
@ 2.09
Away
31%
@ 3.10
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
@ 1.41
No
36%
HT Over 1.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Over 1.5 Goals
71% conf.
WRONG
Yes
71%
@ 1.32
No
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
72% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
28%
No
72%
Home Win to Nil
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.