How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Zwaluwen, at 52.9%. The other outcomes represent 47.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 52.9% · Draw: 19.3% · Away win: 27.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Zwaluwen 1521; Achilles Veen 1469. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Derde Divisie · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:30
Zwaluwen
Elo 1521
1
-
0
Achilles Veen
Elo 1469
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
+51
Elo rating comparison
Zwaluwen1521
Achilles Veen1469
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Zwaluwen
—Draws
—Achilles Veen
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
53% conf.
CORRECT
Home
53%
Draw
19%
Away
28%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
WRONG
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
WRONG
Home
50%
Draw
32%
Away
18%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
WRONG
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf.
WRONG
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.