How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ørn Horten, at 55.0%. The other outcomes represent 45.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 23.8% · Draw: 21.1% · Away win: 55%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Brumunddal 1267; Ørn Horten 1498. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–4. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. Division - Girone 6 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 13:00
Brumunddal
Elo 1267
0
-
4
Ørn Horten
Elo 1498
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
0W
3D
2L
Elo Advantage
-231
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Brumunddal1267
Ørn Horten1498
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Brumunddal
0Draws
2Ørn Horten
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
CORRECT
Home
24%
Draw
21%
Away
55%
Both Teams to Score
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
No
34%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Double Chance 1X
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance X2
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Half-Time Result
47% conf.
CORRECT
Home
21%
Draw
32%
Away
47%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
66%
No
34%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
42%
No
58%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.