How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Elverum, at 76.2%. The other outcomes represent 23.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 76.2% · Draw: 12.4% · Away win: 11.4%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Elverum 1635; Bjørkelangen 1199. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 5–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
3. Division - Girone 6 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 13:00
Elverum
Elo 1635
5
-
0
Bjørkelangen
Elo 1199
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
+436
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Elverum1635
Bjørkelangen1199
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Elverum
0Draws
0Bjørkelangen
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
76% conf.
CORRECT
Home
76%
Draw
12%
Away
11%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
7%
No
93%
Home Clean Sheet
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Double Chance 1X
93% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
93%
No
7%
Double Chance X2
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Half-Time Result
61% conf.
CORRECT
Home
61%
Draw
29%
Away
10%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 1.5 Goals
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
88%
No
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Home Win to Nil
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.