How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Shahter Taganrog, at 45.7%. The other outcomes represent 54.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 31.8% · Draw: 22.5% · Away win: 45.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Kyzyltash 1495; Shahter Taganrog 1609. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second League - Group 1 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 12:00
Kyzyltash
Elo 1495
2
-
1
Shahter Taganrog
Elo 1609
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
-114
H2H (1)
1H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Kyzyltash1495
Shahter Taganrog1609
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
1Kyzyltash
0Draws
0Shahter Taganrog
1 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
WRONG
Home
32%
Draw
23%
Away
46%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
70%
No
30%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
23%
Draw
45%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.