How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Ryazan, at 60.5%. The other outcomes represent 39.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 60.5% · Draw: 21.5% · Away win: 18%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Ryazan 1570; Avangard Kursk 1375. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second League - Group 3 · Sunday, Oct 4 2026
· 14:00
Ryazan
Elo 1570
vs
Avangard Kursk
Elo 1375
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Elo Advantage
+196
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Ryazan1570
Avangard Kursk1375
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Ryazan
2Draws
0Avangard Kursk
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
61% conf.
Home
61%
Draw
21%
Away
18%
Both Teams to Score
52% conf.
Yes
52%
No
48%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
Yes
44%
No
56%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
Home
43%
Draw
37%
Away
19%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
67% conf.
Yes
33%
No
67%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.