How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Volna Nizhegorodskaya, at 58.0%. The other outcomes represent 42.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 58% · Draw: 21.7% · Away win: 20.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Volna Nizhegorodskaya 1616; Saturn Ramenskoye 1507. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second League - Group 3 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 11:00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
Elo 1616
0
-
2
Saturn Ramenskoye
Elo 1507
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
2D
0L
Elo Advantage
+109
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Volna Nizhegorodskaya1616
Saturn Ramenskoye1507
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0Draws
0Saturn Ramenskoye
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
58% conf.
WRONG
Home
58%
Draw
22%
Away
20%
Both Teams to Score
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
55%
No
45%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
WRONG
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
38%
No
62%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
CORRECT
Home
41%
Draw
43%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
16%
No
84%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Over 1.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
53%
No
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.