How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Lechia T. Mazowiecki, at 49.0%. The other outcomes represent 51.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49% · Draw: 24.9% · Away win: 26%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1494; Polonia Lidzbark Warm. 1443. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
III Liga - Group 1 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 13:00
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
Elo 1494
1
-
2
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
Elo 1443
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+51
Elo rating comparison
Lechia T. Mazowiecki1494
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.1443
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Lechia T. Mazowiecki
—Draws
—Polonia Lidzbark Warm.
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
WRONG
Home
49%
Draw
25%
Away
26%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
CORRECT
Home
44%
Draw
34%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
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Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
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No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.