How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Bzenec, at 59.3%. The other outcomes represent 40.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 59.3% · Draw: 18% · Away win: 22.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bzenec 1408; Kroměříž II 1287. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
4. liga - Divizie E · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 13:00
Bzenec
Elo 1408
1
-
0
Kroměříž II
Elo 1287
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Elo Advantage
+121
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Bzenec1408
Kroměříž II1287
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Bzenec
0Draws
0Kroměříž II
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
59% conf.
CORRECT
Home
59%
Draw
18%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Away Clean Sheet
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
8%
No
92%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Half-Time Result
51% conf.
CORRECT
Home
51%
Draw
35%
Away
14%
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
77%
No
23%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf.
WRONG
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.