How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Katwijk, at 43.2%. The other outcomes represent 56.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 43.2% · Draw: 28.1% · Away win: 28.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Katwijk 1701; Kozakken Boys 1666. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–5. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Tweede Divisie · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 13:00
Katwijk
Elo 1701
1
-
5
Kozakken Boys
Elo 1666
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
+34
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Katwijk1701
Kozakken Boys1666
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Katwijk
0Draws
0Kozakken Boys
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
43%
@ 2.13
Draw
28%
@ 3.84
Away
29%
@ 2.73
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
@ 1.41
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
@ 1.37
No
35%
Double Chance X2
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
@ 1.61
No
39%
Half-Time Result
36% conf.
WRONG
Home
34%
@ 2.64
Draw
36%
@ 2.44
Away
31%
@ 3.22
HT Both Teams Score
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
@ 1.23
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf.
WRONG
Yes
45%
No
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
@ 1.12
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
@ 1.47
No
41%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.