How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Fiorentina W, at 49.0%. The other outcomes represent 51.0% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 49% · Draw: 28.2% · Away win: 22.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Fiorentina W 1731; Sassuolo W 1599. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Serie A Women · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 13:00
Fiorentina W
Elo 1731
2
-
0
Sassuolo W
Elo 1599
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+132
H2H (6)
2H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Fiorentina W1731
Sassuolo W1599
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Fiorentina W
0Draws
4Sassuolo W
6 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
49% conf.
CORRECT
Home
49%
Draw
28%
Away
23%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
CORRECT
Home
41%
Draw
38%
Away
21%
HT Both Teams Score
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
20%
No
80%
HT Over 0.5
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
HT Over 1.5
63% conf.
WRONG
Yes
37%
No
63%
Over 1.5 Goals
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.