How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Bansko, at 44.6%. The other outcomes represent 55.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 44.6% · Draw: 26.8% · Away win: 28.6%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Bansko 1538; Botev Ihtiman 1520. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Historical record or date different from the current schedule; it should not be presented as a verified pre-match forecast.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Third League - Southwest · Wednesday, Oct 7 2026
· 13:00
Bansko
Elo 1538
1
-
0
Botev Ihtiman
Elo 1520
FT
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+18
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Bansko1538
Botev Ihtiman1520
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Bansko
0Draws
0Botev Ihtiman
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
45% conf.
CORRECT
Home
45%
Draw
27%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
70% conf.
WRONG
Yes
30%
No
70%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
56%
No
44%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
Home
34%
Draw
44%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
72% conf.
Yes
72%
No
28%
HT Over 1.5
62% conf.
Yes
38%
No
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
79% conf.
WRONG
Yes
79%
No
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
WRONG
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.