How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Pirin Razlog, at 42.6%. The other outcomes represent 57.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 42.6% · Draw: 25.7% · Away win: 31.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Pirin Razlog 1400; Levski Sofia II 1434. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Third League - Southwest · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 13:00
Pirin Razlog
Elo 1400
1
-
2
Levski Sofia II
Elo 1434
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-34
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Pirin Razlog1400
Levski Sofia II1434
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Pirin Razlog
0Draws
0Levski Sofia II
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
43%
Draw
26%
Away
32%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
62% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
62%
No
38%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
WRONG
Home
33%
Draw
43%
Away
24%
HT Both Teams Score
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
HT Over 0.5
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
HT Over 1.5
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
Over 1.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
71%
No
29%
Over 2.5 Goals
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.