How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Prishtina Bern, at 63.9%. The other outcomes represent 36.1% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 18.6% · Draw: 17.5% · Away win: 63.9%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: La Chaux-de-Fonds 1445; Prishtina Bern 1679. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–4. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1. Liga Classic - Group 1 · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 13:00
La Chaux-de-Fonds
Elo 1445
1
-
4
Prishtina Bern
Elo 1679
FT
HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
3W
0D
2L
Away Form (5)
4W
0D
1L
Elo Advantage
-234
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
La Chaux-de-Fonds1445
Prishtina Bern1679
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0La Chaux-de-Fonds
0Draws
2Prishtina Bern
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
64% conf.
CORRECT
Home
19%
Draw
18%
Away
64%
Both Teams to Score
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Away Clean Sheet
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Home Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance X2
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Half-Time Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
22%
Draw
36%
Away
42%
HT Both Teams Score
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
31%
No
69%
HT Over 0.5
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
76%
No
24%
HT Over 1.5
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Over 1.5 Goals
80% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
80%
No
20%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Home Win to Nil
97% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
3%
No
97%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.