How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Potkozarje, at 37.5%. The other outcomes represent 62.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 36.8% · Draw: 25.6% · Away win: 37.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Velež Nevesinje 1407; Potkozarje 1513. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
1st League - RS · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 13:00
Velež Nevesinje
Elo 1407
2
-
1
Potkozarje
Elo 1513
FT
HT 2-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-105
Elo rating comparison
Velež Nevesinje1407
Potkozarje1513
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Velež Nevesinje
—Draws
—Potkozarje
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
26%
Away
38%
Both Teams to Score
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Half-Time Result
44% conf.
WRONG
Home
29%
Draw
44%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
HT Over 1.5
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
71% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
29%
No
71%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.