How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Roosendaal, at 48.5%. The other outcomes represent 51.5% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 31.3% · Draw: 20.2% · Away win: 48.5%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: TOGB 1424; Roosendaal 1531. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 4–3. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Derde Divisie · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 13:15
TOGB
Elo 1424
4
-
3
Roosendaal
Elo 1531
FT
HT 3-3
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
4W
1D
0L
Elo Advantage
-108
H2H (2)
0H
2D
0A
Elo rating comparison
TOGB1424
Roosendaal1531
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0TOGB
2Draws
0Roosendaal
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
48% conf.
WRONG
Home
31%
Draw
20%
Away
48%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
75% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
25%
No
75%
Home Clean Sheet
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
15%
No
85%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
72% conf.
WRONG
Yes
72%
No
28%
Half-Time Result
37% conf.
WRONG
Home
28%
Draw
35%
Away
37%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
43%
No
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
90% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
90%
No
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
53% conf.
WRONG
Yes
47%
No
53%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.