How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Mufulira Wanderers, at 40.1%. The other outcomes represent 59.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 40.1% · Draw: 26.6% · Away win: 33.3%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Mufulira Wanderers 1556; Green Eagles 1584. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–4. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Super League · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 13:00
Mufulira Wanderers
Elo 1556
1
-
4
Green Eagles
Elo 1584
FT
HT 0-2
Home Form (5)
1W
1D
3L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
-27
H2H (4)
0H
0D
4A
Elo rating comparison
Mufulira Wanderers1556
Green Eagles1584
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Mufulira Wanderers
0Draws
4Green Eagles
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
40%
Draw
27%
Away
33%
Both Teams to Score
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Away Clean Sheet
69% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
31%
No
69%
Home Clean Sheet
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
44%
No
56%
Double Chance 1X
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
45% conf.
WRONG
Home
29%
Draw
45%
Away
25%
HT Both Teams Score
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
HT Over 0.5
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
HT Over 1.5
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
20%
No
80%
Over 1.5 Goals
56% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
56%
No
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
Over 3.5 Goals
86% conf.
WRONG
Yes
14%
No
86%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.