SJK-juniorit vs JS Hercules

Kakkonen - Lohko C · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026 · 13:00

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Statistical match analysis

In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is SJK-juniorit, at 49.1%. The other outcomes represent 50.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.

Home win: 49.1% · Draw: 23.5% · Away win: 27.4%.

Elo strength available for this analysis: SJK-juniorit 1517; JS Hercules 1454. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.

90-minute result: 1–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.

Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.

Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.

Kakkonen - Lohko C · Saturday, Oct 3 2026 · 13:00
SJK-juniorit
Elo 1517
1 - 2
JS Hercules
Elo 1454
FT HT 1-1
Home Form (5)
4W 1D 0L
Away Form (5)
1W 1D 3L
Elo Advantage
+64
H2H (10)
6H 4D 0A

Elo rating comparison

SJK-juniorit1517
JS Hercules1454

A measure of relative team strength before the match.

Head-to-head history

6SJK-juniorit
4Draws
0JS Hercules

10 historical meetings in the model

Predictions

14 markets
Match Result
49% conf. WRONG
Home
49%
Draw
24%
Away
27%
Both Teams to Score
63% conf. CORRECT
Yes
63%
No
37%
Away Clean Sheet
89% conf. CORRECT
Yes
11%
No
89%
Home Clean Sheet
65% conf. CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
Double Chance 1X
75% conf. WRONG
Yes
75%
No
25%
Double Chance X2
52% conf. WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Half-Time Result
44% conf. WRONG
Home
44%
Draw
34%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf. WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf. CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
55% conf. CORRECT
Yes
55%
No
45%
Over 1.5 Goals
86% conf. CORRECT
Yes
86%
No
14%
Over 2.5 Goals
75% conf. CORRECT
Yes
75%
No
25%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf. CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf. CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%

How to read these predictions

Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.

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Recent results

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Verified performance

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Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?

Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.

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No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.

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