How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Buckley Town, at 55.6%. The other outcomes represent 44.4% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 55.6% · Draw: 19.3% · Away win: 25.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Buckley Town 1488; Ruthin Town 1404. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
FAW Championship · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 13:30
Buckley Town
Elo 1488
1
-
1
Ruthin Town
Elo 1404
FT
HT 0-1
Home Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
+85
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Buckley Town1488
Ruthin Town1404
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Buckley Town
0Draws
2Ruthin Town
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
56% conf.
WRONG
Home
56%
Draw
19%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Away Clean Sheet
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
56% conf.
WRONG
Yes
44%
No
56%
Half-Time Result
41% conf.
WRONG
Home
41%
Draw
37%
Away
22%
HT Both Teams Score
65% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
35%
No
65%
HT Over 0.5
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
HT Over 1.5
60% conf.
WRONG
Yes
60%
No
40%
Over 1.5 Goals
92% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
92%
No
8%
Over 2.5 Goals
69% conf.
WRONG
Yes
69%
No
31%
Over 3.5 Goals
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.