How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Guilsfield, at 61.7%. The other outcomes represent 38.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 61.7% · Draw: 17.5% · Away win: 20.8%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Guilsfield 1605; Llanuwchllyn 1481. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
FAW Championship · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 13:30
Guilsfield
Elo 1605
1
-
0
Llanuwchllyn
Elo 1481
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Elo Advantage
+124
Elo rating comparison
Guilsfield1605
Llanuwchllyn1481
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Guilsfield
—Draws
—Llanuwchllyn
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
62% conf.
CORRECT
Home
62%
Draw
18%
Away
21%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Half-Time Result
50% conf.
CORRECT
Home
50%
Draw
35%
Away
15%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
WRONG
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Over 3.5 Goals
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
40%
No
60%
Home Win to Nil
73% conf.
WRONG
Yes
27%
No
73%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.