How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is FC Nöttingen, at 54.7%. The other outcomes represent 45.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 54.7% · Draw: 20.5% · Away win: 24.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FC Nöttingen 1511; Türkspor Neckarsulm 1448. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 10–0. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Oberliga - Baden-Württemberg · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 13:30
FC Nöttingen
Elo 1511
10
-
0
Türkspor Neckarsulm
Elo 1448
FT
HT 4-0
Home Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
+62
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
FC Nöttingen1511
Türkspor Neckarsulm1448
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2FC Nöttingen
0Draws
0Türkspor Neckarsulm
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
55% conf.
CORRECT
Home
55%
Draw
21%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
64%
No
36%
Away Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Home Clean Sheet
75% conf.
WRONG
Yes
25%
No
75%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
55% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
45%
No
55%
Half-Time Result
43% conf.
CORRECT
Home
43%
Draw
32%
Away
25%
HT Both Teams Score
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
HT Over 0.5
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
82%
No
18%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
52%
No
48%
Over 1.5 Goals
89% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
89%
No
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
64%
No
36%
Home Win to Nil
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.