How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Werder Bremen II, at 41.2%. The other outcomes represent 58.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 37.9% · Draw: 21% · Away win: 41.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Hamburger SV II 1622; Werder Bremen II 1732. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Regionalliga - Nord · Thursday, Oct 1 2026
· 12:00
Hamburger SV II
Elo 1622
vs
Werder Bremen II
Elo 1732
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
2W
0D
3L
Elo Advantage
-110
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Hamburger SV II1622
Werder Bremen II1732
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Hamburger SV II
0Draws
2Werder Bremen II
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
41% conf.
Home
38%
Draw
21%
Away
41%
Both Teams to Score
67% conf.
Yes
67%
No
33%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
83% conf.
Yes
17%
No
83%
Double Chance 1X
53% conf.
Yes
53%
No
47%
Double Chance X2
59% conf.
Yes
59%
No
41%
Half-Time Result
35% conf.
Home
30%
Draw
35%
Away
35%
HT Both Teams Score
70% conf.
Yes
30%
No
70%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
Yes
78%
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
53% conf.
Yes
47%
No
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
65% conf.
Yes
65%
No
35%
Over 3.5 Goals
54% conf.
Yes
46%
No
54%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.