How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Grobničan Čavle, at 46.3%. The other outcomes represent 53.7% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 46.3% · Draw: 24.6% · Away win: 29.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Grobničan Čavle 1504; Hrvatski Dragovoljac 1485. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–4. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second NL · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 13:30
Grobničan Čavle
Elo 1504
1
-
4
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Elo 1485
FT
HT 0-3
Home Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
0D
4L
Elo Advantage
+19
H2H (2)
2H
0D
0A
Elo rating comparison
Grobničan Čavle1504
Hrvatski Dragovoljac1485
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2Grobničan Čavle
0Draws
0Hrvatski Dragovoljac
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
46% conf.
WRONG
Home
46%
Draw
25%
Away
29%
Both Teams to Score
54% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
54%
No
46%
Away Clean Sheet
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Home Clean Sheet
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
26%
No
74%
Double Chance 1X
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Double Chance X2
53% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
53%
No
47%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
38%
Draw
34%
Away
28%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
79%
No
21%
HT Over 1.5
52% conf.
WRONG
Yes
48%
No
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
84% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
84%
No
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
61%
No
39%
Over 3.5 Goals
64% conf.
WRONG
Yes
36%
No
64%
Home Win to Nil
79% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
21%
No
79%
Recent results
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Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.