How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Uljanik, at 42.2%. The other outcomes represent 57.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 32.2% · Draw: 25.6% · Away win: 42.2%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Trnje 1571; Uljanik 1633. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–0. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second NL · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 13:30
Trnje
Elo 1571
2
-
0
Uljanik
Elo 1633
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
2W
1D
2L
Away Form (5)
1W
2D
2L
Elo Advantage
-62
H2H (2)
0H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
Trnje1571
Uljanik1633
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Trnje
0Draws
2Uljanik
2 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
42% conf.
WRONG
Home
32%
Draw
26%
Away
42%
Both Teams to Score
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
51%
No
49%
Away Clean Sheet
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
27%
No
73%
Home Clean Sheet
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
No
40%
Double Chance X2
66% conf.
WRONG
Yes
66%
No
34%
Half-Time Result
39% conf.
WRONG
Home
30%
Draw
39%
Away
31%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
No
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
57% conf.
WRONG
Yes
57%
No
43%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
WRONG
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.