How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Varteks Varaždin, at 53.2%. The other outcomes represent 46.8% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 53.2% · Draw: 21.7% · Away win: 25.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Varteks Varaždin 1528; Koprivnica 1478. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 1–1. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Second NL · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 13:30
Varteks Varaždin
Elo 1528
1
-
1
Koprivnica
Elo 1478
FT
HT 1-0
Home Form (5)
0W
2D
3L
Away Form (5)
0W
0D
5L
Elo Advantage
+50
Elo rating comparison
Varteks Varaždin1528
Koprivnica1478
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
—Varteks Varaždin
—Draws
—Koprivnica
0 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
53% conf.
WRONG
Home
53%
Draw
22%
Away
25%
Both Teams to Score
57% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
57%
No
43%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
66% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
34%
No
66%
Double Chance 1X
70% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
70%
No
30%
Double Chance X2
51% conf.
WRONG
Yes
49%
No
51%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
37%
Draw
40%
Away
23%
HT Both Teams Score
76% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
24%
No
76%
HT Over 0.5
74% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
74%
No
26%
HT Over 1.5
61% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
39%
No
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
81%
No
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
58% conf.
WRONG
Yes
58%
No
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Home Win to Nil
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
37%
No
63%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.