How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is Excelsior Maassluis, at 52.7%. The other outcomes represent 47.3% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 28% · Draw: 19.3% · Away win: 52.7%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: Vvsb 1547; Excelsior Maassluis 1643. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 0–3. The result matched the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #706 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Derde Divisie · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 13:30
Vvsb
Elo 1547
0
-
3
Excelsior Maassluis
Elo 1643
FT
HT 0-0
Home Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-96
H2H (5)
0H
2D
3A
Elo rating comparison
Vvsb1547
Excelsior Maassluis1643
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
0Vvsb
2Draws
3Excelsior Maassluis
5 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
53% conf.
CORRECT
Home
28%
Draw
19%
Away
53%
Both Teams to Score
65% conf.
WRONG
Yes
65%
No
35%
Away Clean Sheet
74% conf.
WRONG
Yes
26%
No
74%
Home Clean Sheet
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
13%
No
87%
Double Chance 1X
50% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
50%
No
50%
Double Chance X2
73% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
73%
No
27%
Half-Time Result
40% conf.
WRONG
Home
27%
Draw
33%
Away
40%
HT Both Teams Score
77% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
23%
No
77%
HT Over 0.5
80% conf.
WRONG
Yes
80%
No
20%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
87% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
87%
No
13%
Over 2.5 Goals
68% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
68%
No
32%
Over 3.5 Goals
52% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
48%
No
52%
Home Win to Nil
88% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
12%
No
88%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.