How to read these predictions
Each percentage is an estimated probability. Explore the data and models behind our analysis.
Learn more →Statistical match analysis
In the model estimate, the most likely outcome is AFC Eskilstuna, at 38.1%. The other outcomes represent 61.9% of the probability: being the favourite does not mean certainty.
Home win: 35.1% · Draw: 26.8% · Away win: 38.1%.
Elo strength available for this analysis: FBK Karlstad 1747; AFC Eskilstuna 1812. Elo summarises estimated team strength; it does not by itself explain the entire prediction.
90-minute result: 2–2. The result did not match the highest-probability 1X2 outcome. One result does not validate or invalidate a model. Evaluate calibration and performance across a sample of matches.
Automated analysis based on model probabilities, without individual editorial review of this match. 1X2 model #720 · Recorded: . Recorded before scheduled kickoff.
Probabilities do not guarantee profit. Displayed fair odds are not bookmaker offers.
Ettan - Norra · Saturday, Oct 3 2026
· 13:00
FBK Karlstad
Elo 1747
2
-
2
AFC Eskilstuna
Elo 1812
FT
HT 1-2
Home Form (5)
2W
2D
1L
Away Form (5)
3W
1D
1L
Elo Advantage
-65
H2H (4)
2H
0D
2A
Elo rating comparison
FBK Karlstad1747
AFC Eskilstuna1812
A measure of relative team strength before the match.
Head-to-head history
2FBK Karlstad
0Draws
2AFC Eskilstuna
4 historical meetings in the model
Predictions
14 marketsMatch Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
35%
@ 2.51
Draw
27%
@ 3.72
Away
38%
@ 2.33
Both Teams to Score
58% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
58%
@ 1.45
No
42%
Away Clean Sheet
81% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
19%
No
81%
Home Clean Sheet
82% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
18%
No
82%
Double Chance 1X
60% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
60%
@ 1.50
No
40%
Double Chance X2
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
@ 1.42
No
37%
Half-Time Result
38% conf.
WRONG
Home
31%
@ 3.01
Draw
38%
@ 2.38
Away
31%
@ 2.89
HT Both Teams Score
78% conf.
WRONG
Yes
22%
No
78%
HT Over 0.5
78% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
78%
@ 1.25
No
22%
HT Over 1.5
59% conf.
WRONG
Yes
41%
No
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
85% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
85%
@ 1.14
No
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
63% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
63%
@ 1.51
No
37%
Over 3.5 Goals
61% conf.
WRONG
Yes
39%
No
61%
Home Win to Nil
83% conf.
CORRECT
Yes
17%
No
83%
Recent results
Compare match results with the predictions published before kickoff.
Learn more →Verified performance
Explore accuracy statistics, calibration and the history of our models.
Learn more →Frequently asked questionsAnswers to common questions about our predictions.
How are probabilities calculated?
Models analyse historical data, recent form, Elo ratings and other statistics available before each match.
Are predictions guaranteed?
No. A probability is an estimate, not a guarantee. Football is unpredictable and any result can occur.
Is Ganhar.pt a bookmaker?
No. We are a football statistical analysis platform and do not accept bets. Use the information responsibly.